Everton v Liverpool Tips - All Eyes On Suarez

Plenty of special bets for you to sink your teeth into this Premier League weekend in the early Everton v Liverpool Merseyside Derby kickoff. Luis Suarez has had an eventful first year or so for Liverpool and the fiesty Uruguayan for me is key to the result tomorrow. I think a lot of the action will centre around him and how he responds to the pressure and atmosphere of the derby.

Suarez is prone to some temperamental moments and moments of madness as well as his brilliance on the ball. Sent off in the world cup for a hand ball on the line, a long suspension in the Dutch league and already mouthing at refs and diving around in the Premier League. These are all factors which make a booking in match of this type @ 3/1 (StanJames) an extremely generous price. The main markets in the Everton v Liverpool match, for me, are very accurately price and I can't find any value but if Suarez performs to his best, an away Liverpool win could be the ultimate result.

Everton v Liverpool Advised Bets (check lineup)
Tip 1: Suarez to be booked for Liverpool @ 3/1 (SJ) Suarez to be sent off for Liverpool @ 25/1 (B/sq)
Tip 2: Suarez to win a penalty @ 16/1 (B/sq)
Tip 3: Suarez man of the match @ 5/1 (B/sq)
Tip 4: Sending off in match @ 12/5 (W/H)

A great over 2.5 goals live trade and a 2/1 correct score dutch bet coming in midweek for the new football advisory service. This weekend I'm looking at the Spurs v Arsenal, Atletico v Sevilla games and more.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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