Champions League - Dortmund v Arsenal Tips

Arsenal's squad is getting thinner with the news that Aaron Ramsey and Thomas Rosicky have joined the injury list ahead of their massive Champions League encounter against Dortmund on Tuesday night. Injury problems of their own this season for Dortmund with main striker Lucas Barrios sidelined and unlikely to feature v Arsenal. Goals havn't been flowing for Dortmund in his absence but tonight they will face a new look and unfamiliar Arsenal defence.

Per Mertesacker will know all about Dortmund and he'll know the main threat will likely come from the returning Mario Gotze (from Bundesliga suspension) and the Japan star Shinji Kagawa who's coming up under the radar in some sportsbooks. Kagawa has a decent scoring record for both Japana and Dortmund and very much over priced in places. I'm still expecting an open game with some goals as Arsenal continue their attacking approach. Watch out for Andrey Arshavin who has found a return to form in recent matches. He was a massive threat for Russia against Ireland and grabbed the winner for Arsenal at the weekend.

Dortmund v Arsenal Advised Tips
Tip 1: Arsenal(+0.5) Asian Handicap @ 7/8(B365)
Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.06 (Betfair)
Tip 3: Arshavin anytime scorer @ 6.6 (Betfair)Brace @ 40/1 (Bsq)
Tip 4: Kagawa anytime scorer @ 3/1 | Brace @ 29/1 ( Unibet)

Anytime goalscorer prices on Nicspicks generally with Unibet and Betfair for best prices throughout the season. For more football tips, see my football services in sidebar.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship