Bolton v Man UTD Tips - Young Guns

The new youthful looking Manchester UTD side continue their assault on the Premier League title with an early evening trip to Bolton on Saturday night and it's hard to see Owen Coyle's men stopping Man Utd from bagging all three points. Ashley Young is on fire for the away side, scoring again in the England international midweek v Wales and he looks to have given the Man UTD side some real balance and an extra threat going forward. Watch out for set pieces given away around the penalty area by Bolton as well as shooting opportunities from long range for Young.

Bolton play with an attacking philosophy under Coyle and their 3 premier league games so far this season have produced 13 goals. Manchester UTD are coming off the back of an 8 goal scoring spree v Arsenal and expect the goals to continue. The flanks will be where the main threat comes from for the away side and expect Man UTD to win their fair share of corners on the small Reebok surface area. Hernandez likely to come in for the injured Welbeck so if Bolton hold their high line, it could mean trouble in behind.

Advised Tips:
Tip 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72 (Betfair)
Tip 2: Man UTD corners over 6.5 @ 8/11 (Bet365)
Tip 3: Ashley Young anytime scorer @ 11/5 | Brace @ 16/1 (B365)

Note: Corner bets on Nicspicks will be with BET365, where possible.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.



What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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