Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

2011 KLM OPEN PICKS

Pick 1: Peter Hanson E/W @ 30/1 (general) Par 70 old style parkland course this week for the KLM Open at Hilversumsche. Course will play longer than it's yardage due to rainfall and the wet rough will be penal so key this week will be driving and keeping the ball in play. Step up Peter Hanson who finished off nicely at the Omega Masters with a Sunday 64.

Pick 2: Gonzalo Fdez Castano E/W @ 35/1 (general) Disastrous season after injury but regaining his touch now. Off the back of two top 25's and known for his tee to green ability, Castano is a former winner of the KLM Open at Hilversumsche and also placed T4 here last year.

Pick 3: Edoardo Molinari E/W @ 33/1 (general) I've been tipping Molinari a lot in recent weeks and it paid off sticking with Dyson a few weeks back at the Irish Open. Showing progressive form now that his focus is back in Europe, he comes off the back of a T12 last week. Slow greens should see him take advantage with the short stick.

Pick 4: Joost Luiten E/W @ 40/1 (general) Home favourite this week and one to watch on the european tour. Signs of a return to form after a quiet period and the home crowds may be the boost he needs. Good ball striker, capable of going low and course should suit at this week's KLM Open

KLM Open Sleeper Pick
Pick 5: David Lynn E/W @ 66/1 (general) Off the back of a T6 at the Omega, previous winner of the Dutch Open at Hilversumsche and very much over priced this week at the KLM.

Nicspick's Football Advisory Service kicks off this week with a trading plan for the Arsenal v Swansea and Valencia v Atletico games. Click link to subscribe or for more info.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.