Pick 1: Peter Hanson E/W @ 30/1 (general) Par 70 old style parkland course this week for the KLM Open at Hilversumsche. Course will play longer than it's yardage due to rainfall and the wet rough will be penal so key this week will be driving and keeping the ball in play. Step up Peter Hanson who finished off nicely at the Omega Masters with a Sunday 64.

Pick 2: Gonzalo Fdez Castano E/W @ 35/1 (general) Disastrous season after injury but regaining his touch now. Off the back of two top 25's and known for his tee to green ability, Castano is a former winner of the KLM Open at Hilversumsche and also placed T4 here last year.

Pick 3: Edoardo Molinari E/W @ 33/1 (general) I've been tipping Molinari a lot in recent weeks and it paid off sticking with Dyson a few weeks back at the Irish Open. Showing progressive form now that his focus is back in Europe, he comes off the back of a T12 last week. Slow greens should see him take advantage with the short stick.

Pick 4: Joost Luiten E/W @ 40/1 (general) Home favourite this week and one to watch on the european tour. Signs of a return to form after a quiet period and the home crowds may be the boost he needs. Good ball striker, capable of going low and course should suit at this week's KLM Open

KLM Open Sleeper Pick
Pick 5: David Lynn E/W @ 66/1 (general) Off the back of a T6 at the Omega, previous winner of the Dutch Open at Hilversumsche and very much over priced this week at the KLM.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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