Udinese v Arsenal tips - Arsenal To Scrape In

The first leg of the Udinese v Arsenal tie was a lot different than the scoreline suggested. Udinese adopted an unexpected attacking approach and caused Arsenal numerous problems with fast incisive counters. Unfortunately for Udinese, they couldn't put away any chances and ultimatley the fact they have no away goal, could be what sends them out.

I'm expecting a cracking Udinese v Arsenal second leg though with Udinese knowing they'll likely need 3 goals to go through as Arsenal don't draw blanks too often. Arsenal will be out to attack regardless of holding a 1-0 advantage and this will leave their defence open to the swift breaks of Di Natale and company once again. Di Natale, Serie A top scorer two seasons running looked extremely dangerous in the first leg and was almost a 27/10 winner for us last week when his free kick hit the bar.

Injury problems and absentees everywhere you look for Arsenal and an under strength defence that looks dodgy to say the least but Robin Van Persie will return from injury to bring back their big goal threat. We should see a great game with both teams on the scoresheet and Arsenal should be seriously tested on Wednesday night. It could even be the away goals rule that scrapes them into the Champions League proper.

Udinese v Arsenal Advised Tips:
Tip 1: Udinese over 1.5 goals @ 13/10 (Sporting Bet)
Tip 2: Di Natale anytime scorer @ 13/8 (Boylesports) | To score a brace @ 9/1 (PP)
Tip 3: Both teams to score @ 5/6 (general)
Outside Tip: Udinese To qualify @ 5/2 (Betfred)

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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