Premier League Top Goal Scorer 2011/12

The Favourite - Javier Hernandez E/W @ 17/2 (general) Hernandez settled in well at Manchester UTD in his first Premier League year and has nailed down the main striking spot with Rooney playing just off. He is a big favourite for me in the Premier League top scorer market if he can remain fit. An all round striker with pace to burn, intelligent running off the back line of defence, a high quality finisher and surprisingly enough, he's even competent in the air.

With the supply this year of Rooney, Nani and now Ashley Young, 30 goals for Hernandez this season would not surprise me at all. The best option is to trade on Betfair. You'll get 9/1 now, possibly bigger before he returns to action and (barring big injury) if his price doesn't shorten significantly in the top scorer market over the course of the season, I'd be very very surprised.

Top Goal Scorer - The Value Man
Andy Carroll E/W @ 20/1 (general) Again, the Premier League top goal scorer market has a certain element of luck involved with a big injury possibly lurking around the corner. Andy Carroll, for me, if he stays fit is not only a good each way bet for Premier League top scorer, he could challenge strongly for the golden boot. Liverpool (14/1) could be real dark horses this year and while the main focus is on Luis Suarez, I'm looking at the Carroll / Downing duo.

Kenny will be focusing a lot of Liverpool's play this year down the left flank with Downing, one of the best crossers in the Premier League, firing in balls for Carroll. For a big man though, Carroll is not all about heading, he has good feet and is a good finisher. He will also benefit from the set piece delivery of Charlie Adam who had a hand in most of Blackpool's goals last season and Carroll is the best value for me for this year's Premier League top scorer golden boot.

The longshot - Keep an eye on Edin Dzeko this year. I followed him in the Bundesliga for a few years and he has proved very profitable in the past. He's the definition of a goal machine (left foot, right foot, brilliant header and goals from inside and outside the box) and if Tevez is to leave, Dzeko who followed in the vein of last year's 40/1 top scorer tip Berbatov in scoring to boost his confidence in the Community Shield, could very well step up and get off to a flyer. 33/1 E/W with PP.

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