Arsenal v Udinese Tips - Gervinho To Fire?

Udinese travel to Arsenal and the Emirates in the Champions League qualifying tonight less one Alexis Sanchez. Huge miss for Udinese and could be the difference between the two teams over two legs. In the absence of Robin Van Persie, Gervinho, red carded at the weekend for Arsenal v Newcastle will be eager to score points with the fans in the Champions League before his PL suspension kicks in and currently he looks a good value tip on Betfair @ 2.8 to do just that. He's looked very impressive so far for Arsenal with his pace causing serious trouble to defences when he drifts out wide.

Theo Walcott is also likely to come in and Udinese may struggle to cope with the pace of the Arsenal side down the flanks and corners look likely as the Italians will look to sit back and try to soak up the pressure early on. Arsenal could struggle to break them down if they go through the middle without the inventivness of Nasri and Fabregas so focusing play out wide looks the better option. The danger man for Udinese is no doubt Di Natale. Arsenal are always vulnerable to counter attacks and Unibet bet offer 27/0 on a Di Natale goal which looks good value. Top finisher if given the chance.

Arsenal v Udinese Best Bets
Tip 1: Arsenal corners over 6 @ 3/4 (William Hill)
Tip 2: Gervinho anytime scorer v Udinese @ 2.8 (Betfair)
Outside Tip: Di Natale anytime scorer v Arsenal @ 27/10 (Unibet)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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