2011 Czech Open Picks

Pick 1: Miguel Jimenez E/W @ 18/1 (general) Course designer placed T7 here last year and T17 in 2009. Coming off the back of a decent PGA Championship, noone knows the course better and Jimenez will be looking to add another victory to his belt. Fairways and greens are key on the Prosper Resort course and that's the Spaniard's game.

Pick 2: Soren Hansen E/W @ 30/1 (general) Returned to form at the Irish Open with a 5th place finish. T35th here last year, ranks 23rd in GIR% in what has been a bad year and his tee to green game stands out for the tree lined Czech Open course. If rough is up around the undulating greens again this year, it's imperative you hit the surfaces.

Pick 3: Chris Wood E/W @ 33/1 (general) Again, noted for his length combined with accuracy and GIR% (top 30), Wood is going to have his breakthrough win soon enough. With undulating greens and a tough course this week, avoiding 3 putts rather than making birdies is the priority, which should suit Wood.

Pick 4: Jeev Milkha Singh @ 30/1 (general) A player who's been very profitable for me in the past before injuries hit. He's on the road to recovery now though and has finished 6th and 11th in his last 2 European Tour events. One of the best putters on tour when on song and although GIR% is more important this week, it's always a help.

For those who trade or would like an insight into trading golf tournaments, I'm currently running a trial golf trading advisory service. This week I'll be trading the Wyndham Championship. The service includes direct picks and trading plan etc. Click link for more details. Deadline is 6pm Wednesday. So far we are 5.5units in profit after 3 events.

Czech Open Sleeper Pick
Pick 5: Steve Webster E/W @ 80/1 (general) Reappeared on the radar a few weeks back when he hit a fabulous birdie streak over a period of holes in a particular tournament, only to fall away. Signs that his game is coming back and he's returning to a course he had a T2 on 2 years ago. Ranks 27 in GIR%.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's Czech Open.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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