Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

Copa America Top Scorer Tips 2011

I'll be focusing mainly on Copa America group A in the top scorer market which has goals written all over it. Lionel Messi is the obvious favourite but is often played out of position and under performs for Argentina, which resulted in no goals for him at the World Cup. If he doesn't fire at the Copa America, there are plenty of value candidates to pick up the top scorer award. Angel Di Maria has been priced up at 66's across the board and could be a decent E/W value shout but the following 3 players are my best value tips in the top scorer market:

Copa America Top Scorer Tips
Tip 1: Carlos Tevez E/W @ 10/1 (WH) 1 of the favourites and unlikely to be on pen duty but I can't ignore his goal scoring ability in a group where Argentina should create a mountain of chances in their 3 games against Colombia, Bolivia and costa Rica. Downside is that he may be rested for the final group game if Argentina win their first 2 matches. Extremely dangerous in and around the box and refreshed after missing the most part of the back end of last season. Looks a great trading opportunity at the very least.

Offers: There should be some great value on Betfair for the 2011 Copa America as well as opportunity to make money trading markets such as the top scorer. Open an account here for a free £25 no loss bet. Bet365 are offering new customers up to £200 in free bets to take advantage of for this year's Copa America. Huge odds currently on my next top scorer tip.

Tip 2: Radamel Falcao E/W @ 20/1 (BET365) Superb scoring record in his football career wherever he's been, averaging approximately 1 in 2 goals overall. Superb finisher and being chased this summer by Europe's biggest clubs, including Chelsea and Real Madrid. Again, he is in the easiest group and will line up against Bolivia and Costa Rica and Colombia could be a surprise package and a decent tip to go far if the draw is kind in the Copa America knockout stages.

Tip 3: Robinho E/W @ 33/1 (WH) Big price and probably won't last. Brazil may not be at full strength and Robinho may not play up top but this price represents huge value on a player that's already claimed the Copa America top scorer award in 2007. Seems to play his best football for his national side and could be Brazil's main man once again.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.