Man UTD v Schalke - Shades Of Wolfsburg

Man UTD v Schalke Tips: (Champions League may 4)
Tip 1: Michael Owen anytime scorer for Man UTD v Schalke (check lineup) @ 3.5 (Betfair) Some of you may remember that I tipped Owen to come in under the radar in last year's champions league group phase against Wolfsburg and cause mayhem in their defense. I tipped him offically to score a brace at 20/1 and mentioned he was worth betting at 100/1 to get the hattrick. He did just that and this game tonight brings back memories if Ferguson plays Owen and Berbatov as he's hinted. The Schalke defense was 1 of the loosest I've seen in a while last week and with Schalke having to go forward, Michael Owen will thrive in the spaces left in behind, just as Hernandez did last week for Man UTD. Top tip tonight if Man UTD play him from the start v Schalke.

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Tip 2: Michael Owen to score a brace for Man UTD v Schalke @ 10/1 | To score a hattrick @ 50/1 (Bet365) As mentioned, if he starts, he could get multiple one on ones / clear cut chances and likely to take them given his finishing ability.

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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