Volvo China Open Picks

2011 Volvo china Open Picks
Pick 1: Simon Dyson E/W @ 25/1 (general) Dyson usually kicks into gear around this time of the season and having shot -8 in round 2 last week in Malaysia, the pattern looks to be setting itself again before the Volvo china Open. Very good record in this part of the world.

Pick 2: Danny Willett E/W @ 40/1 (general) Similar to Dyson in terms of getting going and in recent weeks he's been simmering and I've been watching him closely hoping for him to strike at a great price. In the Volvo China open field this week, 40/1 is massive....


Pick 3: Jeev Milkha Singh @ 60/1 (general) Much traveled Singh has been in the wilderness for a couple of years but has been sniffing around the leaderboard on the european tour in recent weeks and he's a man who when gets into contention, doesn't go away. Great E/W value this week IMO in the Volvo China Open where he will be well used to conditions.

Pick 4: Nicolas Colsaerts E/W @ 50/1 (general) Under achiever is another that's been simmering recently and huge hitter off the tee which will give him an advantage over a lot of the field on a fresh course that plays over 7,300 yards. He will be able to take advantage of the par 5's.

Pick 5: Robert Rock E/W @ 70/1(general) Silly price on a player off the back of 2 top 20's who can compete against the best and a regular feature on leadeboards at the lesser European Tour events such as the Volvo China Open.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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