WGC Accenture World Matchplay Picks

WGC Accenture World Matchplay Picks:
Pick 1: Paul Casey E/W @ 14/1 (General) Played some superb golf here last year up until the final and warmed up nicely last week. On paper, he has the easiest route to the WGC Accenture Matchplay final.

Pick 2: Rory McIlroy E/W @ 16/1 (General) On paper his route to the Accenture Matchplay finl looks not to have too many stumbling blocks and will have the energy to go the full distance if need be....

Pick 3: Robert Karlsson E/W to win Gary Player bracket @ 14/1 (Bet365) Could be the underdog of the whole WGC Accenture World Matchplay tournament this week. Got some practice in in the States last week and known for being a fantastic desert golf player. Showed us with a 50/1 winner late last year that he isn't afraid of the matchplay situation when he took care of Ian Poulter.

Pick 4: Dutch Luke Donald (8/1) and Ryo Ishikawa (35/1) to win the Bobby Jones bracket @ 7.2 (best prices) 2 that will meet in the 3rd round of the Accenture World Matchplay if both get that far but again a favourable looking side of the draw and bracket.

Pick 5: Louis Oosthuizen E/W to win Ben Hogan bracket @ 17/1 (Boyle) Could come in under the radar in this tournament. Again, had a warm up in the States last week and has shown his mental toughness by winning the British Open. Great driver of the golf ball which will suit the conditions and the draw looks good for him.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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