Joburg Open Picks - Keep an Eye On Abery

Joburg Open Picks

Pick 1: Darren Clarke E/W @ 25/1 (Bet365) Clarke was 1 of the favourites last week in many people's book but I thought I'd give him a week to walk off the christmas turkey. This week's Joburg Open looks a better tournament for the Irish man. Fine record at Royal Joburg & Kensington including a 2nd place finish last year. Slow greens will suit.

Pick 2: Jaco Van Zyl E/W @ 20/1 (Bet365) Decent record on the course(s) and a pick from last week that I'll stick with after his top 5 finish for us. He looked in good form and could push hard at the Joburg Open this week.


Pick 3: JB Kruger E/W @ 30/1 (general) Great player on home soil and 1 I've been watching closely on the African golf swing. The putter wasn't working for him last week on the final day and that along with a double early on the home stretch prevented him from making a strong charge for the title

Take advantage of Bet 365's sign up offer: Up To £200 in free bets
- Click on "Open account offer" in right sidebar for some free bets on this week's Joburg Open golf.


Pick 4: Keite Horne E/W @ 66/1 (Totesport) Fine record in the Joburg Open, finishing joint 2nd last year with Darren Clarke and back on form last week at the Africa Open.

Sleeper Watch:

Pick 5: Warren Abery E/W @ 250/1 (Skybet) Has decent tournament and current form and could be 1 that comes in under the radar at the Joburg Open this week.

Nic's Twitter | Tip Alerts By Email | Facebook Betting Group

Winning Tips? Click To Buy Me A Beer :)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Up To £200 in Free Bets @ Bet365 | £25 Free Bet @ Betfair
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.



What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship