Golf Betting - Hyundai Tournament Of Champions Picks

Hyundai Tournament Of champions Golf Picks

Pick 1: Anthony Kim E/W @ 33/1 (general) The Plantation course at Kapalua for this year's Tournament of Champions is a course that should very much suit Anthony Kim's game. Kim showed signs that he isn't too far off at the Shark Shootout recently and will enjoy the hugely generous fairways and set up of the course at Kapalua..


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Pick 2: Bubba Watson E/W @ 45/1 (general) Sticking with the sportsbook outsiders, Watson is another who fits the bill for me in the Tournament Of Champions due to his length off the tee and aggressive game. Wind is expected to blow at Kapulua and the bombers will come to the fore here IMO. Accurate iron play is also at a premium due to the large greens and Bubba is superb with a short iron/wedge in his hand.

Pick 3: Charley Hoffmann E/W @ 50/1 (general) Again, another golf pick fitting the big hitting aggressive profile. A player who should feel very much at home in Hawaii this week with his surfer style in the Tournament Of Champions. A week of relaxation could bring out the best of Hoffmann who has shown on may occasions that he can compete with the big boys, especially on this type of course.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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