Bob Hope Classic Picks 2011 - Here Comes Bubba!

Bob Hope Classic Picks

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Pick 1: Bubba Watson E/W @ 22/1 (Bet 365) I watched Bubba Watson at the Bob Hope Classic last year absolutely destroy the 4 courses and I remember thinking that the only person that could defeat him was himself. He did just that (as was the norm for the then winless Watson) but a year on after he has been in the winner's circle, he is now comfortable leading from the front. He can over power all courses in what is an annual birdie fest in the Bob Hope Classic.

Pick 2: Tim clark E/W @ 16/1 (Bet 365) NOTE: TIM CLARK HAS WITHDRAWN On form at the Sony last week and top 5 here last year. Right up there in the proximity to the hole stats and will give himself plenty of birdie opportunities. If his putter is working (which it often is), expect Clark to go low at the Bob Hope Classic....

Pick 3: Steve Marino E/W @ 30/1 (general) If it's birdies you're looking for, Steve Marino is your man. Up the top of the stats in birdie making over the last couple of seasons. Tied 2nd last week after the usual final round capitulation, before recovering a little on the back 6.

Pick 4: Rory Sabbitini E/W @ 40/1 (Totesport) Again, another pick following the theme of birdie making for the Bob Hope Classic. Game looked good last week in Hawaii and Sabbitini will enjoy the relaxed atmosphere of the pro-am event.

Sleeper Watch

Keep an eye out this week at the Bobe Hope Classic for Brendan De Jonge (60/1 E/W) and Matt Bettencourt (100/1 E/W). Both coming off the back of a good tournament in Hawaii and both streaky players who can make a lot of birdies.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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