Newcastle v Liverpool Tips - Tough Start For Pardew

Newcastle v Liverpool Betting Tips (Premier League Dec 11):

Tip 1: Over 2.5 goals @ @ 1/1 (Betfair) Tough start for the new Newcastle manager on Saturday as Liverpool come to town with Fernando Torres tipped to be back in the Liverpool starting lineup. Both teams missing their first choice central defensive partnerships and the likes of Carroll, Torres and Babel/Ngog will be looking to exploit those weaknesses. 1/1 on the overs a good value betting tip for me. Should be a fast paced game.

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Tip 2: Newcastle v Liverpool corners over 10 @ 21/20 (Bet365) Should be a fiery atmosphere in the Newcastle v Liverpool game with the toon supporters not happy with the Pardew appointment and fiery, fast paced games always make be look at the corner betting markets. Most books have been putting the line at 10 for the corner betting on Newcastle games this year and that's a mistake I'll be looking to take advantage of before it's corrected. St. James park is a ground and pitch conducive to corners.

Tip 3: Fernando Torres anytime scorer @ 13/10 (Coral) Torres will be feeling happy with life after the birth of his second child midweek and signs of late suggest that he is becoming happy with life on the pitch as well. As mentioned, Newcastle missing players at the back and it's hard to see Steven Taylor and Campbell coping with the pace of a fit and firing Torres. A good bet to score @ 13/10.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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