Birmingham v Spurs - Return Of Defoe

Birmingham v Spurs Betting Tips (Premier league Dec 4):

Tip 1: Jermaine Defoe anytime scorer @ 2.88 Betfair With the absence of Van Der Vaart for Spurs, Jermaine Defoe will be in from the start after injury. Lethal finisher Defoe will be eager to make up for his penalty miss against Liverpool and a good value tip @ that price to net against Birmingham. Bale and Lennon to supply the ammo for Tottenham.

Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.06 Betfair Birmingham v Spurs is hardly a game on paper that looks like a goal fest but as I've said many times, any price over evens on any spurs game this season represents value with their out and out attacking style opening up any game, even against boring sides like Birmingham.



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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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