Dubai World Championship E/W Value Picks

Pick 1: Ross Fisher E/W @ 33/1 (general) Top 25 last time out at the WGC and his driving ability catches the eye here.The Total driving stat will be very important in the Dubai World Championships this week with the course playing over 7,600 yards long.

Pick 2: Edoardo Molinari E/W @ 50/1 (general) Return to form at the Dunlop Phoenix last week and has a new found confidence after phenomenal year.

Pick 3: Robert Karlsson E/W @ 50/1 (general) Another offering value at this week's Dubai World Championship and decent tip to challenge the market leaders if his driving is up to his usual standard on the Earth Course. Finished alongside Molinari last week.

Pick 4: Symon Dyson E/W @ 70/1 (Boylesports) Good driver of the golf ball and finished 2nd in strong field last week in Hong Kong. Streaky player and if anyone is to stop 1 of the big names taking the Dubai World Championship title, Dyson looks a top value tip to do so.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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