Here is a sample of what to expect from my advisory service. This is the betting/trading plan sent out for weekend 1st-2nd October:
Last week we had a near miss for a very nice profit on the City game when Silva smashed the post, which would have made it 2:0 on 70 mins, the ideal trading time. Those of you that took the half unit insurance on 2:0 will have still made a profit and if not, you could have exited for a small loss.
The goal scorer betting produced a decent profit to level stakes with Bwin's price on Van Persie being made to look silly. I got the Malaga v Zaragoza game wrong where Aguirre actually adopted a defensive approach and they looked completely blunt up top. For Malaga, the Baptista / Van Nistelrooy partnership is yet to take off.
Midweek, we had a great live trade on the Bayern game on Twitter, a 1 unit loss on the UTD game and a nice 2/1 winner for anyone who dutched the recommended scorelines on the Napoli game.
This week, there's one completely standout premier League game and that's Spurs v Arsenal.
Over 2.5 goals @ 7/10 (general) | Home goals over 1.5 10/11 (general)
All the ingredients of goals in this one. Arguably the league's two most attack minded managers and two teams with fierce rivalry desperate to take three pts. Both teams with problems in defence with the continued absence of Dawson for Spurs and for Arsenal, they are just shambolic at the back and will most likely play with only Song as defensive cover in front.
Both teams with more attacking talent than the bottom half of the league put together. There have been 17 goals in a combination of each of the teams last two PL games and the atmosphere should be terrific, leading to a fast paced game. Adebayor will be out to get one over his old club and if Spurs adopt the same approach as they did against Liverpool, it could be a tough game for the Gunners.
Home corners over 6.5 @ 1/1 (BET365) We could see Bale and Lennon on the flanks and with the gaps Arsenal leave at the back, expect Spurs to hit the bylines regularly and look to get crosses in.
Trading Pointer: I'll be looking to enter the market when the under 2.5 goals hits 1.6 by laying 5 units (3unit liability) move to the over 3.5 goals market if an early goal is scored). I'll be looking to green up / trade out if and when two goals go in from that point.
Correct score trading pointer: In a game like this where goals are likely at both ends, I like to back the 1:3, 3:1 and 2-2 scorelines (dutch). If the scoreline hits 2:1 to either side we have the option of trading or waiting for another goal. Trade out if either scoreline hit or on 80 mins if 2:1 either way.
Atletico v Sevilla Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (general)
Potentially four top class strikers on show with Kanoute back partnering Negredo in recent weeks. Two new attack minded managers at the helm and Sevilla will be looking to take advantage of any slacking from Atletico after their midweek away tie in Renne which they drew 1-1. The last three Atletico games in La Liga have produced 13 goals, with the latest being a 5-0 defeat to Barca. The defensive weaknesses are still there for Sevilla to exploit. Falcao is on fire for the home side.
Trading pointer: Follow the same plan as the Tottenham game
Anytime scorer value
Every week, I like to target games where I know certain strikers can thrive against specific defenses due to key variables. I often spot bigger priced selections that are likely to not only get a few good chances, but clear cut chances. If you look at the anytime goal scorer markets on oddschecker, you will see a remarkable implied difference of opinion across the sportsbooks and this is an area that can be exploited over the course of the season.
This week's value men: (These are outside value bets. Advised stakes - 1 unit on each)
Jermaine Defoe @ 19/10 (Unibet)
Mario Balotelli @ 7/4 (Unibet)
Niclas Bendtner @ 13/5 (Unibet) Mainly on pricing misjudgement. Bendtner is averaging 11/8 across other sportsbooks.
Bobby Zamora @ 2/1 (Coral)
Note: Check starting lineups before placing bets. Remember to check in on the Twitter feature for updates and possible extra bets and trades.
Please note that the plan will differ a little from week to week to include different market pointers, bets and trading plans etc. The service includes a midweek email when there's a full Champions League / Premier League fixture list. Also, the Twitter feature will help you with live trades and extra bets.