Valencia v Atletico Madrid - Under The radar

Valencia v Atletico Madrid Tip 1 (Outside Bet): Diego Costa anytime scorer @ 10/3 (William Hill), 35% | Tip 2: (Longshot) Diego Costa brace @ 20/1 (PaddyPower | Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (Betfair), 70-75%,

All eyes for the Valencia defense tonight will be on Diego Forlan in the likely absence of Kun Aguero and same can be said for the odds compilers as Diego Costa has sneaked in under the radar @ 10/3 on Hills. He will be looking to do the same to Valencia as he potentially takes Aguero's place in the lineup due to an injury for the Argentine at the weekend. This game anually produces a few goals and no reason why it won't be more of the same tonight with both sides putting emphasis on attack.
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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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