Premier League Top Goal Scorer 2010 / 11

After Darren Bent's 22/1 success for us last year in the goalscorer (handicap) market, I've been looking for some value again this year. There doesn't seem to be any books offering the handicap Premier League top goal scorer market so I'll look for some bigger odds players further down the list of the main market in the hope of them getting a place or who knows, even better....


It's hard to look past the top 3 or 4 in the betting but with Drogba, Torres and Van Persie very injury prone players and them as well as Rooney likely to be rested before certain European games, there's value to be had especially in terms of an E/W place in this year's Premier League top goal scorer betting market.

Selections Offering Value:

Pick 1: Dimitar Berbatov E/W @ 40/1 (Boylesports 1/4 odds places 1-4) A very surprising pick some of you might be thinking but with all the pressure off him now that all the attention is focusing on new man Javier Hernandez, this could be the season where the real Berbatov comes to the fore. Kicked off nicely last week with a confidence boosting goal in the Community Shield and one to watch this year for me.

Pick 2: Andrei Arshavin E/W @ 50/1 (Paddypower places 1-4 1/4 odds) No doubting the quality of this man and now that he's settled, don't be surprised to see him set the English Premier League alight this season. Brilliant finisher.

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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    6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.