NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Premier League Relegation 2010 / 11

There are 2 teams that stand out for me this season in this the relegation market. 1 is a team that would be expected to be down towards the bottom end and the other is a team that is expected in the most part to finish in the top half of the table..


Before I get to those teams, Blackpool are a near certainty for Premier League relegation for me and there's no other real standout team. Wolves are dogged and have a good organised unit and set up with MacCarthy there. Westbrom can play superb football and I expect them to win a lot of their home games and Newcastle are being very much underrated; I don't expect them to struggle too much and a mid table place is likely.

That means, for me, there are 2 spots wide open for teams to take the plunge with relegation to the Championship and 2 sides that look decent value to fill those 2 relegation spots are Wigan (9/4) and Sunderland (11/1).

Selections Offering Value:

Pick 1: Sunderland for Premier League Relegation @ 11/1 (general) - For me, a terrible summer for Sunderland. I really expected them to push on from last season, sign 3 or 4 quality players and be challenging for a top 7 finish. Instead, they've gone backwards. Their signings are not of the standard / type I expected and I think will struggle to adapt or take time to settle in and they've just made a huge error in selling star man Kenwyne Jones. I don't know who they will get in as a replacement but I'm fairly sure it will be a step down. A significant injury to Darrent Bent this year and it could be trouble for Sunderland. I wouldn't be surprised to see Bruce go this season either. Great value at such a big price.

Pick 2: Wigan for Premier League relegation @ 9/4 (general) - Wigan are a team expected to be down towards the bottom and I fear for them this season. Martinez has an attacking philosophy and that can be dangerous for a team like Wigan. They are average to say the least and a team I get the impression that are far from together. Want away players like Scharner and Charles NZogbia 1 wonders where their heads will be this year. I can see them being very unorganised at the back and putting their heads down a lot this season if things are not going well and wouldn't be surprised to see them battle Blackpool for bottom spot.

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.