La Liga Top Scorer 2010/11

I can't really look past the top 3 in the betting for the La Liga golden boot this season and taking the best available odds from bookmakers, you can dutch the 3 for odds of 2.18 and that is a fantastic bet for me to be top goal scorer in Spain come may...

With David Villa's move to Barcelona and playing in tandem with Messi, there are going to be a lot of goals at Camp Nou this season and barring injuries, the only real contender should be Cristiano Ronaldo for Real Madrid. Higuain was on fire for Madrid last season but in my mind, he won't have as good a season this year. He misses far too many of the easy chances. Ronaldo on the other hand, playing in a more advanced position and taking all the set pieces is an obvious danger to the 2 Barca boys.

Of the outsiders, another Barca boy I havn't mentioned yet looks great E/W odds (top 4) and that's Pedro (33/1). Flew onto the scene last year and was rewarded with a place in the spanish world cup squad. He a greedy player around the box and a top top finisher and with Zlatan likely to be used sparingly this season (if he's still there), Pedro will get a lot of playing time.

Other yearly contenders Forlan and Fabiano I think will have too much to do this year to keep up with the rest. Neither Sevilla or Atletico are as good as recent seasons past. Roberto Soldado (28/1) after his move to Valencia could be worth a shout and watch out for Villarreal this year. They have no European competition to focus on and Nilmar(33) or Rossi (40) could be decent bets for a top 4.

Selections Offering Value

Dutch Betting: Villa, Messi and Ronaldo @ 2.18
Outside Bet: Pedro E/W @ 33/1 (Bluesquare)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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