Share URUGUAY V HOLLAND / GERMANY V SPAIN BETTING TIPS World cup (July 6 & 7): Only 1 of 4 favourites in the betting left as Spain take on Germany and Holland meet Uruguay in the last 4 of the World Cup...

Holland and Uruguay is first up in what looks a great opportunity for the Dutch to reach the finals with Uruguay set to be understrength with the likes of Fucile and Suarez suspended and captain Diego Lugano rated doubtful through injury. Forlan will be the one they have to stop and with the quality of the Dutch team you'd have to fancy them as hot betting tips to progress. Expect them to dictate play with Uruguay trying to keep it tight and possibly play for penos.

Most neutrals now favourite team is Germany with the style of football they've adopted and the second of the semi finals against Spain looks an enthralling encounter. Spain have struggled to break teams down with the narrowness of their play across the midfield but Germany as we know will not sit back and that should set the game up to be a cracking affair promising goals. If you can get at the Spanish defense as Germany will with pace in abundance and slick passing, they can be found out and this game may be a mouth watering affair.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

REMEMBER: You need to open up a Betfair Exchange betting account to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Holland to beat Uruguay (90 mins) @ 1.75 (Betfair), 65-70%
Pick 2: Germany v Spain over 2.5 goals @ 2.34 (Betfair), 60%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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