Share HOLLAND V BRAZIL Betting Tips (World Cup July 2): Brazil have done well for me lately in terms of goal betting but I'm going to go against the trend as I fancy Brazil v Holland to be a bit of a cat and mouse affair in the early stages...

Both sides have adopted a counter attacking approach with solid foundations and given maybe 4 attacking players the freedom to express themselves and I can see both teams being a bit cagey in the early stages, placing the emphasis on defence and looking to the likes of Sneijder, Robben and Kaka to produce some magic to get their side ahead.

I'd make the Brazilians favourites to progress but it's Holland who are the good betting tips in terms of value at over 2/1 on the exchanges to qualify for the semi finals. One matchup that intrigues me is Robben vs Bastos. Bastos isn't really a natural defender and if the Dutch are to go through, Robben may be the avenue they go down and Bastos may have his work cut out to keep him quiet and stay out of the referee's notebook.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

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Pick 1: Second half to be highest scoring half @ 5/4(Betfair), 60%
Pick 2: Holland to qualify @ 3.05 (Betfair), 40%
Specials Bet: Michel Bastos to be booked @ 10/3 (Skybet), 40-45%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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