Share ARGENTINA V GERMANY BETTING TIPS World cup (July 3): An open encounter looks on the cards here in arguably the pick of the 1/4 final matches as the all out attacking Germans take on a lot of people's now favourites in the betting, Argentina....

Expect no let up from the Germans as they will try to take the game to Messi and co just as they did against England. Certainly Germany have been the most exciting team to watch in the tournament so far and I expect more of the same today with plenty of chances being created in a potentially open game of football. The over 2.5 goals betting has been backed in from around 7/5 to 2.06 on the exchanges and that doesn't surprise me at all and I've already completed a good trade on that.

Lucas Podolski has been looking very dangerous for the Germans with his late runs into the box from a wide position and his powerful long range shooting and he looks a good value betting tip to hit the net today at 7/2 on the exchanges. We're still waiting for Messi to set the tournament alight but the all out attacking game of Germany means there is good reason to think this will be the game where he turns it on, using the spaces left by the German midfield to get at the defensive line and if Argentina do progress, I'd expect Messi to have a big influence today.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.06 (Betfair), 65-70%
Outside value bet: Lucas Podolski anytime scorer @ 7/2 (Ladbrokes) (Betfair), 40%
Specials Bet: Leo Messi man of the match @ 11/4 (Betfred), 30-35%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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