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SOUTH AFRICA V MEXICO BETTING TIPS - WORLD CUP BETTING

Share SOUTH AFRICA V MEXICO Betting Tips (World Cup June 11): The World Cup 2010 kicks off on Friday with hosts South Africa entertaining a flamboyant Mexico side and you'll see that as usual in big international tournaments, the bookmakers tend to side with the unders in the early stages. I'll be tipping against it and looking to take advantage of this once again as the over 2.5 goals betting in a lot of the early matches can be backed at odds as high as 13/8 in some books....


First of all, make sure you take advantage of a huge deposit Up To €200 In World Cup Free Bets by opening an account with Bet365. If you sign up, you'll also help out our site with a small %.

South Africa V Mexico falls right into this bracket. It was priced up at 13/8 for over 2.5 golas but cut into best price 6/4 currently. Mexico have looked full of flair and attacking threat in the build up friendlies with Javier Hernandez (UTD's new signing) looking a huge find for them, scoring 3 goals in the last 3 games. Both teams are not great in defensive departments and South Africa carry a threat of their own from players such as Steven Pienaar and watch out for Bernard Parker in this tournament as he looks to fill the boots of Benni McCarthy and the hosts look to progress further than everyone expects.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

IMPORTANT: You need to open up a Betfair Exchange betting account to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 6/4 (Betfair), 55%
Pick 2: Javier Hernandez anytime scorer @ 12/5 (Bet365), 40-45% | Javier Hernandez brace @ 16/1 (Paddypower)

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.