HOLLAND V DENMARK BETTING TIPS - WORLD CUP BETTING

Share HOLLAND V DENMARK Betting Tips (World Cup May 14): It's been a bit of a dour world cup so far both due to the altitude and strange football as well as just plain boring fixtures but tomorrow's clash between Holland and Denmark could change all that. Both teams have quality in attack and both should be pretty loose at the back....


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The Dutch are generally poor in the defensive department and Denmark have fitness worries over a couple of their more established defenders. 2 big misses in the attacking department though with Arjen Robben for Holland and Niclas Bendtner for Denamark both looking good bets to sit out the first match. Still plenty of attacking talent on show with Van Der Vaart likely to come in and he looks a great betting tip to score @ 4/1 if he starts. Look for the likes of the pacey Rommendahl and Gronkjaer to cause the Dutch defense problems and create good opportunities for captain Jon Dahl Tomasson to try and take advantage of. I'm expecting goals in this 1 and Nic's Picks best antpost value bet Robin Van Persie will look to start the tournament in style.


Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 (Betfair), 60-65%
Pick 2: Van Der Vaart anytime scorer @ 4/1 (Betfair), 40%
Pick 3: Jon Dahl Tomasson anytime scorer @ 4/1 (Betfair), 40%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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