FRANCE V MEXICO BETTING TIPS

Share FRANCE V MEXICO Betting Tips (World cup June 17): To say the least, this world cup is proving a really tough task to find good value winning tips but now that the first round of matches is over, hopefully things will pick up now that we have a better grasp of each team's style of play, game plan etc and the fact the players have now got a competitive match with this new ball in high altitude under their belts....


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France, lucky to be at the World Cup at all will look to take full advantage against a Mexican side who looked wasteful in their first match. Javier Hernandez, tipped to score on Nic's Picks was left on the bench and if he keeps the same starting lineup with only 1 up forward, I'd fancy the French to be good value to take all 3 points in this 1. Most people have written them off but I wouldn't be surprised to see them grow as the tournament progresses.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

REMEMBER: You need to open up a Betfair Exchange betting account to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: France win @ 7/5 (Betfair Exchange), 50%

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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