ENGLAND V GERMANY BETTING TIPS

Share ENGLAND V GERMANY Betting Tips (World Cup June 27): The old enemies England and Germany meet again in what should be a tight enough encounter, a match which is too hard to call in the win draw win and qualifying betting markets...

1 thing to note though is Germany's very attacking style of play in this World Cup and that could be of benefit to Jermaine Defoe if he retains his place and there's no reason why he shouldn't after firing England through their group and with his confidence high. Followers of Nic's Picks will know I'm a big fan of Defoe and he brought in decent profits throughout last season and Germany will leave gaps at the back when they move forward for him to capitalise on. I'd fancy the attacking talents of the Germans to pierce a strong England rear guard on at least one occasion as well, with Mesut Ozil the danger man in a pretty close affair. 1-1 at 11/2 and extra time wouldn't be a bad outside bet.

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Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

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Pick 1: Both teams to score @ 6/5 (Betfair), 50-55%
Pick 2: Jermain Defoe anytime scorer (check lineup) @ 4.1(Betfair), 40%


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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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