Share BRAZIL V NORTH KOREA Betting Tips (World cup June 15): Brazil, a lot of people's favourites for this world cup, having adopted a new more defensive style under Dunga, kick off their campaign against the world cup minnows North Korea tomorrow. Everyone is tipping Brazil to destroy the North Koreans but the way this world cup is going so far with goals seemingly very hard to come by (meaning a poor start in terms of my betting tips) due to the altitude mixed with the new ball, I'll be having a watching brief in that respect....

Fabiano though is sure to be given a handful of good goalscoring opportunities and StanJames are still currently 5/6 on him to hit the net and that's a decent value price for me. Kaka has been talking in the build up about having a big world cup and he's desperate to prove himself after a poor first season with Real Madrid. Everyone's favourite Brazilian is sure to be in with a great shout of winning the fans man of the match vote if he plays anywhere near the level we know he can in this one.

First of all, make sure you take advantage of a Bet365's deposit bonus Up To €200 In World Cup Free Bets by opening an account with them. If you sign up, you'll also help out our site with a small %.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation)

IMPORTANT: You need to open up a Betfair Exchange betting account to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Fabiano anytime scorer @ 5/6 (Stanjames), 65% | Fabiano brace @ 7/2 (skybet)
Pick 2: Kaka man of the match @ 9/2 (Paddypower)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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