Share WESTHAM V MAN CITY BETTING TIPS (Premier League May 9): The last day of the season, most players already on holiday (in their minds) and even though the title race is still on, it doesn't seem like it with 2 routine wins on the cards for the big 2. There is one outstanding game though in terms of value betting and that's Man City's visit to Westham. The mindset of the both teams couldn't be more contrasting....

All tension has lifted around Upton Park after a long hard relegation battle and they will be feeling free and wanting to give their fans a good send off for the summer, wheras Man City must be deflated as ever after their own battle (for the CL) ended in defeat midweek. It's very hard to see how City will be up for this 1 and all the value is with the home side. Carlton Cole, who always seems to score when he starts at Upton park is for some strange reason priced up at 11/4 on skybet. You can be sure if he starts that he will be fully motivated as he looks to be that last striker in the England World Cup squad.

Bets Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Carlton Cole anytime goal scorer @ 11/4 (Skybet), 50% | Carlton Cole brace @ 16/1 (Skybet, B/sq)
Pick 2: Westham Win (Draw No Bet) @ 9/4 (B/sq)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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