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VILLARREAL V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS

Share VILLARREAL V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS (La Liga May 1): Barcelona must put the disappointment of their champions league knockout behind them tonight as they travel to a vastly improved Villarreal side. Real Madrid will be watching with big interest in the hope that Villarreal can take points off the league leaders.....

Villarreal are playing a new system of late with all 3 of Nilmar, Rossi and Llorente often starting and they play a very attacking, passing style. If they set out in the same frame of mind tonight, with the high line Barca keep too, this match should have a fair few goals. Look for Rossi to break the Barcelona offside and get a few one on ones against Valdes. Looks great value to score tonight.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Goal line over 2.75 @ 7/10 (Bet365),70%
Pick 2: Guiseppi Rossi anytime goal scorer @ 3/1 (Betfair), 40-45% | Rossi brace @ 20/1 (B/sq)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2025/26) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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