VILLARREAL V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS

Share VILLARREAL V BARCELONA BETTING TIPS (La Liga May 1): Barcelona must put the disappointment of their champions league knockout behind them tonight as they travel to a vastly improved Villarreal side. Real Madrid will be watching with big interest in the hope that Villarreal can take points off the league leaders.....

Villarreal are playing a new system of late with all 3 of Nilmar, Rossi and Llorente often starting and they play a very attacking, passing style. If they set out in the same frame of mind tonight, with the high line Barca keep too, this match should have a fair few goals. Look for Rossi to break the Barcelona offside and get a few one on ones against Valdes. Looks great value to score tonight.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Goal line over 2.75 @ 7/10 (Bet365),70%
Pick 2: Guiseppi Rossi anytime goal scorer @ 3/1 (Betfair), 40-45% | Rossi brace @ 20/1 (B/sq)

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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