SEVILLA V ATLETICO MADRID BETTING TIPS

Share SEVILLA V ATLETICO MADRID BETTING TIPS (La Liga May 2): Sevilla face Atletico in a dress rehearsal for the Spanish Copa Del Rey final but it won't be the same, as Atletico, after their exploits midweek against Liverpool will rest some players according to Quique Sanchez Flores. That could mean a start for Eduardo Salvio, fresh off a brace last week against Tenerife....stay tuned for betting tips

Atletico as mentioned will be focusing on their 2 big finals coming up but Sevilla still have big ambitions to take the final champions league spot and many people see this one as a highly confident home win. I'm 1 of them but couldn't touch the price available. I do think there will be goals though. Sevilla, after the sacking of Manolo Jiminez have returned to their old attacking style and Atletico are always good for at least a goal. As mentioned Eduardo Salvio, full of confidence after last week and who looks very promising may get a start and Sevilla will offer chances at the back. Perotti returns to the Sevilla squad but Kanoute will miss out. Ibrahima will be another looking for some playing time for Atletico.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Goal line over 2.75 @ 10/11 (Betdaq), 70%
Pick 2: Eduardo Salvio anytime goal scorer @ 19/5 (Sportingbet), 40%

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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