Share MANCHESTER CITY V TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR BETTING TIPS (Premier League May 4): Massive clash tonight in the Premiership in the chase for the champions league as the 4th and 5th best teams go head to head. Tottenham Hotspur head to Manchester City tonight with a 1 point advantage and have it all their own hands in what should be a cracking tie.....

A cracking tie maybe but in regards to value betting tips, there's only 1 standout bet for me and that's Jermaine Defoe in the anytime goal scorer betting market. Coral price him up at a silly 11/5. Bearing in mind that Man City must beat Spurs, they will have to push forward and that means space in behind for Bale and potentially Lennon (back from injury) to exploit with their pace and create for Defoe who is 1 of the most lethal finishers around(If Redknapp doesn't opt for Gudjohnson instead in a moment of madness). He won't have Shay Given to contend with either in the City goal. He will have a nervous and lacking match practice Martin Fulop.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Jermaine Defoe anytime goal scorer @ 11/5 (Coral), 40-45%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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