Share MANCHESTER CITY V ASTON VILLA BETTING TIPS (Premier League May 1): 1 of the biggest mistakes in the transfer market last summer was undoubtedly the transfer of Richard Dunne from Manchester City to Aston Villa and the honey monster will be determined to remind Man City just what they're missing while helping their own chances for a Champions League finish....
Doubts over the fitness of Adebayor for this one which could see Bellamy and Tevez in a 2 man attack. Agbonlahor and Carew tipped to start up top for Villa and with so much pace in the attack for both teams (Johnson, Young and Downing also), this game promises corners. The bookies are aware of that though with some putting the line at 13 or even 14 so I won't be going near. What it does throw up though is plenty of opportunity for Richard Dunne to score against his old team if Villa get those corners and Paddypower go a tasty 12/1 on that longshot. Carlos Tevez is still in the running for the Top Goalscorer gong and with this game being potentially open due to being a must win for Villa, I can see Tevez scoring at least once and he's good value on the betting exchanges.
Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.87 (Betfair), 65-70%
Pick 2: Carlos Tevez anytime goal scorer @ 8/5 (Betfair), 55%
Pick 3: Richard Dunne anytime scorer @ 12/1 (Paddypower), low %
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