MALLORCA V REAL MADRID BETTING TIPS

Share MALLORCA V REAL MADRID BETTING TIPS (La Primera Liga May 5): Huge game in Spain tonight as Real Madrid travel to the island of Mallorca desperate for all 3 points to stay in touch with Barcelona as the season draws to a close. Mallorca though, are also desperate for the points as they fight it out with Sevilla for the last champions league spot. Betting on Mallorca at home this season would have yielded you a massive return on investment and having won 14/17, some would say good value tips at almost 5/1 to cause an upset....

It's another match likely to produce goals, with both teams set up to attack and needing all 3 points. Aritz Aduriz's scoring record on the island is fantastic and Bwin go 14/5 on him scoring against a shambolic defense. That is the value bet of tonight's big live La Liga match for me.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Aritz Aduriz anytime goal scorer @ 14/5 (Bwin), 40-45%
Pick 2: Over 3.5 goals @ 13/10 (Betfair), 55-60%

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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