LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA BETTING TIPS

Share LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA BETTING TIPS (Premier League May 2): Plenty of people seem to be of the opinion that this game is going to be a bit of a stroll in the park for Chelsea at Anfield tomorrow. Total rubbish. Liverpool may have nothing much to play for in terms of the league but any game at Anfield against one of the "Big Four" is a big game and anyone tipping Chelsea at an odds on betting price is making a bad call. No matter what happens on this occasion, it's still a losing bet in the longrun.....

Whether it will do UTD a favour or not will have absolutely no bearing on this game either, no matter what some people are saying. I'd advise you to leave the win-draw-win and/or handicap markets completely alone in this one as anything could happen. The value in this game is on Steven Gerrard at a whopping 29/10 to get on the scoresheet. He's got the taste for goals again after a brace against Burnley last week and will be keen to show his best against the best. I wouldn't be surprised to see a spot kick for Liverpool tomorrow either and he will take it. Another bet that catches my eye is bet365 offering a line of 10 in the corner betting. Over 10 at 5/6 is a baffling price for me, given Chelsea's corner count on the road and Liverpool's at Anfield.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Corners over 10 @ 5/6 (Bet365),70%
Pick 2: Steven Gerrard anytime scorer @ 29/10 (Expekt), 40%

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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