Focusing more on rank outsiders for places is the way to go for me this week in the betting although there are a few I have to back closer the top end of the market for various reasons. Tim Clark being the standout. He owns this course. As mentioned, he only lost in a playoff last year and he had some awful luck with an approach shot late on, hitting the bottom of the pin and spinning back 20 yards and off the green. Mickelson heads the betting and has a good record here but on a track like this, there will be plenty of trees to keep him occupied! Local boys this week include Rod Pampling, Chad Campbell, Ryan Palmer and last week's winner Jason Day.
The Course
Very tight and relatively short treelined track at Colonial. Greens are narrow and protected by bunkers but no real rough around them. Key round here is to hit the fairways but not only the fairways, you need to hit the right part of the fairways and plot your way around if you are to get close to the pins. Stand up Tim Clark, David Toms, Zach Johnson, Brian Gay and the rest. Experience is key here which is why I'll be plumping for the likes of these and the locals.
Crowne Plaza Invitational Selections Offering Value
Pick 1: Tim Clark E/W @ 22/1 (general) Course couldn't set up any better for Tim clark and with the confidence of finally breaking through for his first PGA Tour win at the Players, he could be the 1 to watch. Fabulous course record.
Pick 2: Brian Gay E/W @ 40/1 (general), Top 10 @ 5/1 (
Pick 3: Steve Marino E/W @ 50/1 (general) Top 10 finish @ 5/1 (
Rank Outsiders:
Pick 4: Tim Petrovic E/W @ 125/1 (general), Top 20 finish @ 19/4 (Extrabet) Finding form on the PGA tour in recent weeks and won the Open qualifying on Tuesday in a strong field. Has some course form also at Colonial.
Pick 5: Ryan Palmer E/W @ 150/1 (general), Top 20 @ 6/1 (Extrabet) Local favourite has the knowledge round this track and course form would suggest that. Hit a 150/1 winner for me a couple of years back and maybe he can do it again! Found serious form 2 weeks ago shooting a low round -8 on the Sunday. Missed the cut last week but he doesn't like that course.
Pick 6: Martin Laird E/W @ 200/1 (general), Top 20 @ 7/1 (Paddypower) Not too far behind Petrovic in the British Open qualifying and totally buzzing as he will get to play in his dream tourmament. He can ride the form and confidence this week in Colonial. Very underrated player as prices would suggest
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