Share CHELSEA V PORTSMOUTH BETTING TIPS (FA Cup final May 15): I fear for Portsmouth in what may the the most 1 sided FA cup final in recent years. Chelsea have found a new ruthless streak under Ancelotti and they really look like they can score against the 'lesser sides' every time they go forward...

Ancelotti has found a way to play Anelka and Drogba in tandem and Lampard is excelling in his new role. Malouda also looks like a new player after a terrible first season at the Bridge. Malouda looks a value bet to score anytime at 7/4 (Ladbrokes) and serious value to be first goalscorer @ 9.4 on the Betting Exchanges but it's the "Man Of The Match" and the handicaps that get my attention here. 21/10 on sporting bet looks good value on Chelsea to win by 3 or more given the explosive form they are in and the fact they don't sit on a lead anymore. The MOTM market looks fantastic with Paddypower currently going 11/2 both Drogba and Lampard. You can be sure that if all goes to plan, both the aforementioned will have a big say and backing them both could yield a big return. If Jamie Redknapp is in the studio and has an influence, he will do everything he can to give it to his cousin (unknowingly) - a factor I benefited seriously off in seasons past before some firms pulled the plug for the majority of matches on a market they were very vulnerable in.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

REMEMBER: A Betfair Exchange betting account is needed to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Frank Lampard Man Of The Match @ 11/2 (Paddypower), 30%
Pick 2: Didier Drogba Man Of The Match @ 11/2 (Paddypower), 30%
Pick 3: Chelsea (-2) handicap win @ 21/10 (Sporting Bet), 45%
Pick 4: Florent Malouda first goalscorer @ 9.4 (Betfair), 20-25%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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