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EUROPA LEAGUE FINAL BETTING: ATLETICO V FULHAM TIPS

Share ATLETICO V FULHAM BETTING TIPS (Europa League may 12): Doubts still over the fitness of key duo Damien Duff and Bobby Zamora for the Europa League final clash between Atletico Madrid and Fulham. It's advisable to watch that situation with interest as Fulham continue to drift in the betting.....


Most of the value in this clash is with Fulham. Zamora and Duff have trained after injury and I wouldn't be surprised to see them both start. If they do, Fulham are definitely good value betting tips at almost 3/1 to win the match outright (90 mins). Inconsistant Atletico are firm favourites with the bookmakers but I've seen enough of Fulham to know that this is much more of an even match than they think (providing the aforementioned duo make it). Zamora is 21/10 with Paddypower to score but watch that price tumble if and when he's declared fit and he's a whopping 17/1 to bag the brace which is very achievable if he plays from the start against what is a very loose defense at times. Another Kalu Uche perhaps! Sergio Aguero is a man for the big occasion and has been kept fresh for this 1. Extrabet go 15/8 he scores which is well overpriced as he looks to impress watching scouts.


Bets Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Bobby Zamora anytime goal scorer @ 21/10 (Paddypower), 40-45% | Bobby Zamora brace @ 17/1 (Paddypower)
Pick 2: Sergio Aguero anytime scorer @ 15/8 (Extrabet), 40-45%


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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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