Share ATLETICO V FULHAM BETTING TIPS (Europa League may 12): Doubts still over the fitness of key duo Damien Duff and Bobby Zamora for the Europa League final clash between Atletico Madrid and Fulham. It's advisable to watch that situation with interest as Fulham continue to drift in the betting.....

Most of the value in this clash is with Fulham. Zamora and Duff have trained after injury and I wouldn't be surprised to see them both start. If they do, Fulham are definitely good value betting tips at almost 3/1 to win the match outright (90 mins). Inconsistant Atletico are firm favourites with the bookmakers but I've seen enough of Fulham to know that this is much more of an even match than they think (providing the aforementioned duo make it). Zamora is 21/10 with Paddypower to score but watch that price tumble if and when he's declared fit and he's a whopping 17/1 to bag the brace which is very achievable if he plays from the start against what is a very loose defense at times. Another Kalu Uche perhaps! Sergio Aguero is a man for the big occasion and has been kept fresh for this 1. Extrabet go 15/8 he scores which is well overpriced as he looks to impress watching scouts.

Bets Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Bobby Zamora anytime goal scorer @ 21/10 (Paddypower), 40-45% | Bobby Zamora brace @ 17/1 (Paddypower)
Pick 2: Sergio Aguero anytime scorer @ 15/8 (Extrabet), 40-45%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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