Share ATLETICO V SEVILLA BETTING TIPS (Copa Del Rey final may 19): Atletico and Sevilla both go into this 1 with confidence high after their recent exploits in the Europa League and La Liga respectively and I couldn't for the life of me figure out why the bookmakers were suggesting Sevilla had much the bigger chance....

In my mind this 1 is as even as they come and Atletico have now been cut big time across the board and the odds would now look more accurate so if you didn't get some early value on Atletico, leave this market alone. The standout market here is no doubt the over 2.5 goals market. Some firms are still offering 11/10 on the overs. A final maybe but this match in my opinion will play out just like a la Liga match between the 2 and if it does, that means open attractive football with plenty of chances and most probably, goals. Aguero was my man of the match for Atletico last week albeit he didn't score and he is a good value betting tip to hit the net tomorrow @ over 2/1 with Sevilla having reverted to their old Kamikaze style football.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 11/10 (Betfair), 70-75%
Pick 2: Sergio Aguero anytime goal scorer @ 21/10 (Betfair), 45% | Aguero brace @ 13/1 (Paddypower)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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