Share BAYERN MUNICH V INTER MILAN BETTING TIPS (Champions league may 22): Bayern Munich, Nic's Picks E/W antepost betting tips for the champions league face a quality Inter Milan side at the final hurdle on Saturday night. They will have to do without the suspended Frank Ribery if they want to get their hands on the trophy...

Bookmakers are predicting a dour game and have installed Inter as quite firm favourites. For me there's definitely value in opposing these opinions. Especially in the over 2.5 goals market. For me, it's close to a coinflip whether this game will produce over or under that line, making 8/5 on the Betting Exchanges a good value bet for the former. I have my eye on Diego Milito in this 1. He's been on fire this season and his style of play could be well suited to gaining an advantage on the slow Bayern centre backs. He will play on the shoulder and try to capitalise on through balls from Sneijder. Ladbrokes go 7/1 on Milito for Man Of The Match. Olic, who's going for the golden boot is also overpriced to score @ 13/5 on Paddypower.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

REMEMBER: A Betfair Exchange betting account is needed to get the biggest odds and maximise your winnings from a lot of tips on Nic's Picks.

Pick 1: Diego Milito anytime goal scorer @ 15/8 (Coral), 45%-50% | Diego Milito brace @ 11/1 (Paddypower)
Pick 2: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.58 (Betfair)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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