ALMERIA V VILLARREAL BETTING TIPS

Share ALMERIA V VILLARREAL BETTING TIPS (La Liga May 4): Anyone who watched Almeria v Real Madrid last month will know that the game in question could easily have finished 4-4. I'm expecting a game much the same today with Villarreal still pushing on for Europe...

Almeria have serious pace on the counter attack (although Crusat may be out) and Villarreal, as mentioned on saturday, play a high line just like Real Madrid and have often played with 3 strikers. I can see plenty of chances in this one with both teams pushing on and players like Kalu uche breaking the Villarreal offside and 23/10 on Uche scoring is a great value bet for me.

Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)

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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1(Betfair), 65-70%
Pick 2: Kalu Uche anytime scorer @ 23/10 (PP), 45% | Kalu Uche brace @ 17/1 (PP)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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