SHELL HOUSTON OPEN BETTING (In-Running) DAY 4

With only Adam Scott with an outside chance of anything this week in the golf for Nic's Picks, it's a case of the calm after the storm, after big winners the last 2 weeks but looking at the Shell Houston Open markets today and odds of 9/2 on Bryce Molder(who curently sits at the top of the leaderboard at -10, tied with Anthony Kim and 2 shots ahead of anyone else), that IMO represents fantastic value.....

Molder is obviously very underrated by the boomakers and punters alike but if he holds his nerves together, he won't go away. His game is very neat and tidy and he generally makes few mistakes, wheras Anthony Kim is as erratic as they come and he could either run away with it or fall out of the top 10! Bryce Molder is great value for a medium stakes bet. The final group will tee off in 3.5 hours time.

Pick 1: 2.5pts Bryce Molder to win the Shell Houston Open @ 9/2 (Exchanges)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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