Share LYON V BAYERN BETTING TIPS (Champions League Apr 27):
Bayern take a slender advantage into this one and Lyon will fancy their chances of upsetting the odds and qualifying for the final. Some firms still go 11/4 in the betting that Lyon will overturn the 1-0 first leg deficit and that could be a good value outside tip....
I'll be focusing on the goal index markets though as I fancy Bayern to get at least 1, meaning Lyon will need no less than 3 to go through. Both teams are weak in defense - Bayern always are and Lyon will have Toulalan and probably Boumsong out. Those losses are cancelled out by the absence of Ribery who is a big loss for Bayern after his red card last week, so once again they will look to Arjen Robben for inspiration who is available to score @ 12/5 on bet365. Lisandro for the home side though catches my eye in the anytime goal scorer market with the aforementioned weaknesses in the Bayern defense. His movement and finishing ability against Van Buyten and Demichelis, who are both average defenders, make 19/10 a good price for him to hit the back of the net. Van Bommel should return for Bayern to give them a little stability
Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
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Pick 1: Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 (Betfair Exchange, 65-70%
Pick 2: Lisandro Lopez anytime scorer @ 19/10 (Betfair Exchange), 40-45% | Lisandro to score a brace @ 12/1 (Paddypower)
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