The US Masters, the first major of the year is upon us and there's 1 man dominating the attention and that's Tiger woods and hardly surprising as it's his first outing in about 5 months since all the goings on in his personal life. But I couldn't be interested in all that malarky, what interests me is the US Masters betting market with Tiger Woods in it.....

I could be proved very wrong come sunday but I don't give Tiger much of a look in at Augusta this year but the fact that his name is in the field makes the other competitor's prices drift substantially and I hope to take advantage of the value in this week's first major.

This year I'll be making my final picks for the US Masters at Augusta probably Wednesday afternoon after some extra place specials and better value odds hit the market as is the norm. I recall 1 bookmaker(think it was Boylesports) paying 8 places for 1 of last year's majors!

The Augusta course itself is very much a bombers course now and not too dissimilar to last week's Shell Houston open Redstone course. It plays almost 7,500 yards long and most of the par 4's leave the shorter hitters with a massive disadvantage. One look at last year's leaderboard tells you the main attribute needed for Augusta is length off the tee. Other than Woods, the usual suspects dominate the market but there is definitely some good looking value a little further down with the likes of Robert Allenby one to watch this week and I'll be keeping a watchful eye on Martin Kaymer, who I think will be the one of the top European golfers for many years......stay tuned for final US Masters expert value picks.

For discussion / tips etc on this week's first golf major of the year, visit our Facebook Betting group and get your very own picks out there and why you fancy them | Twitter

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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