Share The PGA Tour heads this week to Quail Hollow (Previously the Wachovia), scene of a 45/1 success for Nic's Picks last year when Sean O Hair took it down due to his tremendous week with the driver and that's going to be key again this week as we size up the field at the Quail Hollow championships.
Some firms are offering a "Without Big 2" market this week and it may be wise to avoid the markets with Mickelson and Tiger as both are likely to feature in the top 10 (at least). Focus as mentioned will be mainly on the total driving stat around the moderately tough Quail Hollow track. I already have my shortlist whittled down to about 10 players with the likes of Watney, Kim and Mahan all performing really well last time out at the Masters and big outsiders who can drive the ball really well are on the radar such as Moore, Senden and Van Pelt. Seriously strong field this week with the likes of Westwood, Villegas and Harrington also towards the top of the market.
Quail Hollow Course
I'll be Ruling out the short hitters around this track that plays almost 7,500 yards although suprisingly Jim Fuyrk has a great record here. Total driving and par 4 performance are key at Quail Hollow. You must take advantage of your birdie opportunities before hitting holes 16,17 and 18 (The Green Mile). Par for those 3 holes is a fantastic score and there will be plenty of drama come sunday evening down that stretch. Stay tuned for expert Quail Hollow final value picks....
Selections Offering Value: ( % = My estimated win expectation, please note)
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Pick 1: Nick Watney E/W (W/O Woods and Mickelson) @ 28/1 (Stanjames), top 10 finish @ 4.3 (Betfair) Watney has the perfect game for this course and played fantasticly well last time out at the Masters.
Pick 2: Lee Westwood @ 16/1 E/W (W/O Woods and Mickelson) He says he's in the form of his life and I'd believe it. Might look short odds but without the big 2, it's value.
Pick 3: Anthony Kim E/W (W/O Woods and Mickelson) @ 18/1 (StanJames) Kim is looking better than ever at the moment. He is a winner on this course and could be the man to beat. Leading the tour in scoring average.
Pick 4: Hunter Mahan E/W (W/O Woods and Mickelson) @ 30/1 (Stanjames), Top 10 finish @ 4.5 (Betfair) Course and current form. Top 10 in total driving and 5th last year in par 4 performance.
Pick 5: John Senden E/W (W/O Woods and Mickelson) @ 75/1 (Stanjames), Top 20 finish @ 4/1 (Skybet) Can't overlook Senden who is starting to show signs of form, thrives on tougher courses and features in or around the top 20 here the last 4 years running
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