MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UTD Betting Tips (Premier League Apr 17):
Man City v Man UTD could boil down to 1 thing for me - the availability of Wayne Rooney. I've finally given up trying to second guess Alex Ferguson but the fact that he came out today and said that he could be ready for the massive Manchester Derby probably means that he won't play any part in this football match and thus make Man City good priced favourites in my eyes. Stay tuned for expert value betting tips....

City will feel probably for the first time that they are now in the same league as Man UTD and will look to start fast as they try to secure 4th spot. They are in flying form after spanking both Burnley and Birmingham and the trio of Bellamy, Adebayor and Tevez look serious threats for any team. Bellamy and Tevez can cause big trouble in wide areas for UTD. UTD without Rooney look toothless in attack and even with him, it may be City's day tomorrow as they look to end end Manchester UTD's title hopes.

Nic's Advised Value Bets: (Scale 1-5pts, % = win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: 2.75pts Man City win (Draw No Bet) @ 11/10 (Betfair)
Pick 2: 3pts Man City corner handicap(scratch) vs UTD @ 11/10(Bet365)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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