FOOTBALL VALUE BETTING: MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UTD BETTING TIPS - PREMIER LEAGUE

MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UTD Betting Tips (Premier League Apr 17):
Man City v Man UTD could boil down to 1 thing for me - the availability of Wayne Rooney. I've finally given up trying to second guess Alex Ferguson but the fact that he came out today and said that he could be ready for the massive Manchester Derby probably means that he won't play any part in this football match and thus make Man City good priced favourites in my eyes. Stay tuned for expert value betting tips....

City will feel probably for the first time that they are now in the same league as Man UTD and will look to start fast as they try to secure 4th spot. They are in flying form after spanking both Burnley and Birmingham and the trio of Bellamy, Adebayor and Tevez look serious threats for any team. Bellamy and Tevez can cause big trouble in wide areas for UTD. UTD without Rooney look toothless in attack and even with him, it may be City's day tomorrow as they look to end end Manchester UTD's title hopes.

Nic's Advised Value Bets: (Scale 1-5pts, % = win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: 2.75pts Man City win (Draw No Bet) @ 11/10 (Betfair)
Pick 2: 3pts Man City corner handicap(scratch) vs UTD @ 11/10(Bet365)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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