FOOTBALL BETTING: WESTHAM V SUNDERLAND BETTING TIPS

WESTHAM V SUNDERLAND Betting Tips(Premier League Apr 10):
Westham v Sunderland is 1 of only 2 English Premier League football matches on Saturday but it offers up some value IMO in the goal line betting, anytime goalscorer and corner betting markets. Darren Bent, fresh off a 13/1 brace for Nic's Picks is still an outside tip for the golden boot in his own mind according to his latest interview and he expects both teams will come flying out of the blocks come kick off time and "Play Football"....

Coral make Bent a 15/8 shot to hit the back of the net which is too big in my opinion in a game that will surely offer him chances and with the extra motivation of the aforementioned golden boot and Wayne Rooney(current leader) missing the Blackburn game, it's good value IMO. Both teams have weaknesses in defence and good goalscoring ability so anything odds against on the over 2.5 is a bet I will be taking and SJ currently go 11/10. So if as Bent expects, it's a fast paced game with plenty of action, I also expect plenty of corners on a ground that regularly produces double figures on the corner count.

Nic's Advised Value Bets: (Scale 1-5pts, % = win expectation, please note)
Pick 1: 3pts over 2.5 goals @ 11/10 (StanJames) - 65%
Pick 2: 3pts over 10.5 corners @ 5/8(Expekt) - 75%
Pick 3: 1.75pts Darrent Bent anytime scorer @ 15/8 (Coral) - 45%

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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